Ron Paul will win the Iowa caucuses leading not to his winning the nomination, or other primaries, or being taken seriously by the Republicans, or media coverage, but it will lead to Iowa losing its status as the first in the nation to choose nominees.
After failing to get media attention by winning Iowa, Ron Paul’s sizable national following combined with his loyal internet followers on Reddit and other places will make him the Americans Elect project “internet choice” nominee. Depending on their success at getting on state ballots this will lead to Paul getting enough votes nationally (up to 10-15%) that would have gone Republican to easily get Obama reelected.
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But let me know how wrong I am next year, because I’m giving up politics for 2012.